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Predict/Bybit/ARPA/USDT

Will ARPA/USDT Funding Rate Be Positive?

Bybit · Settles every 8h · 3 markets per day

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Buy YES or NO — auto-resolves from Bybit API data. Free devnet USDC.

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Prediction Overview

Historical Positive %
85.7%
of 4,441 settlements
Model Confidence
High
Based on rate stability
Next Settlement
8h
3x daily

Why This Prediction Matters

ARPA/USDT on Bybit shows a 85.7% historical positive rate. With an average rate of -0.0062% per settlement, the annualized yield sits at -6.75%.

This pair has a strong positive bias — the crowd is consistently long ARPA. Historically, when funding is positive, there's a high probability it stays positive at the next settlement. This makes the YES side statistically favored, but NO trades offer outsized payouts when sentiment flips.

The rate has ranged from -3% to 0.345% per settlement since 2022-04-20.

How to Predict Funding Rates

1

Pick a Side

Buy YES if you think ARPA/USDT funding will be positive. Buy NO if you think it will be negative or zero.

2

Wait for Settlement

Bybit settles ARPA/USDT funding every 8 hours. Our oracle reads the rate directly from the exchange.

3

Auto-Resolution

Winning shares pay out $1. Losing shares pay $0. No manual claims — settled automatically.

Frequently Asked Questions

Will ARPA/USDT funding rate be positive at the next settlement?

Based on 4,441 historical settlements on Bybit, ARPA/USDT has been positive 85.7% of the time. Past performance doesn't guarantee future results, but the historical bias is strongly positive.

How can I predict ARPA/USDT funding rates?

On Settled, you buy YES or NO shares on whether the funding rate will be positive at the next Bybit settlement. Markets auto-resolve every 8 hours using live exchange data. No price exposure — pure sentiment trading.

Is the ARPA/USDT prediction market free to trade?

Yes — Settled runs on Solana devnet. You get free devnet USDC from our faucet to trade prediction markets. No real money required.

How often does the ARPA/USDT prediction market settle?

Every 8 hours — 3 times per day. Each settlement creates a new prediction market automatically.

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